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Will Oregon See a Nuclear Comeback?

Trojan Nuclear Plant in Rainier OR, on the eve of its demolition in 2006
Trojan Nuclear Plant in Rainier OR, on the eve of its demolition in 2006
photo/image by: Flickr user Tobin - flickr.com/photos/tobin/151732593, CC BY-SA 2.0 - creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/legalcode

Oregon’s experience with nuclear power plants has not been too positive. The state’s first nuclear plant, Trojan, was operated by Portland General Electric from 1976 to 1993. Its shutdown followed years of protests from environmental advocates and, eventually, mechanical defects with the plant itself. The plant had cost about $450 million to build and could generate up to 1300 MW of energy if run efficiently.

Almost two decades later, as Oregon works to replace fossil fuels with clean energy resources, Pacific Power is looking to nuclear plants to provide emissions-free power to its customers. A “small modular reactor” (SMR) nuclear plant, Natrium, is included as a future resource in the utility’s Integrated Resource Plan. This is a long-term resource plan that utilities serving Oregon customers must present to the Oregon Public Utility Commission for acknowledgement once every two years. The plan is a framework for the least-cost least-risk spread of energy resources (also called the preferred portfolio) that the utility plans to acquire over the next twenty years.

The plant has not been built yet. But it is projected to generate power starting in 2028 and will cost more than $4 billion to build. The plant would be a combination of a nuclear reactor and a salt storage system. The reactor can generate up to 345 MW of energy, and if combined with on-site storage, up to 500 MW total for about 5.5 hours. That is less than 5 percent of Pacific Power’s entire system load. The plant is being funded in part by the United States Department of Energy as well as Microsoft founder Bill Gates.

CUB is an active stakeholder in utility resource planning processes. We advocate for affordable, accessible, reliable, and clean electricity for Oregon residents. CUB reviewed Pacific Power’s plan and realized that the Natrium project comes with a host of uncertainties. The SMR plus salt storage technology is first-of-its-kind and not much is known about how it will perform.

CUB raised several questions around the project’s financing, fuel supply, provision of a long-term waste facility for highly radioactive wastes, and regulatory delays. Any one of these factors could send the project costs skyrocketing. Recent experiences with nuclear plants around the U.S. have shown that plant costs can be much higher than what the utilities initially predict and end up costing customers billions of dollars. For example, the Vogtle Nuclear Plant in the state of Georgia is costing utility customers $28 billion or more, more than double the initial projected costs, with no certainty on the completion date. These plants are much larger in capacity and size than Natrium - nonetheless, unforeseen costs and risks of this project are a major concern.

CUB believes utilities should allow various alternative resources to compete fairly in resource planning. The planning process should facilitate picking the best resources to serve customers, and that means accounting for all risks and costs. Pacific Power’s resource plan falls short in capturing all risks associated with the Natrium project. Oregon residents should not be burdened with costs and risks that could be avoided if the utility accounted for these appropriately in its analyses. CUB will keep pushing Pacific Power to look at alternative resources, including offshore wind, and compare these resources to the costs and risks of the Natrium plant.

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12/09/21  |  5 Comments  |  Will Oregon See a Nuclear Comeback?

Comments
  • 1.I am under the impression that Oregon state law requires that any future nuclear reactors need approval by Oregon voters before they can built. How is Pacific Power's plan to build a SMR get around that law?

    Barbara Bernstein | December 2021

  • 2.Hi Barbara - thanks for your question! Please see the response below from our Executive Director Bob Jenks:

    "You are correct, Ballot Measure 7 which was passed by Oregon voters in 1980 prohibits new nuclear power plants in Oregon until there is a permanent waste storage facility and the plant has been approved by voters. I was a college student at the time and collected signatures on that initiative. Pacific Power is planning to build the plant in Wyoming, not Oregon so the Oregon prohibition would not apply. But Pacific Power plans to use the plant to serve Oregon customers which creates a great deal of economic risk to Oregon customers, even if the safety risk is in Wyoming. We are highly skeptical about the costs and benefits of this proposal and will continue to urge the company to explore less risky alternatives."

    Amelia Lamb | January 2022

  • 3.When evaluating the economic cost, has there been consideration on the effect the operation and maintenance of the nuclear reactor has on the local community? I suppose the numbers would be different for a large nuclear reactor versus a small modular one. For large reactors, I have heard that for every MW of the reactor's output, it requires roughly 1 person to operate/maintain. The labor required would peak during plant outages depending on the number of capital and O&M projects and sub-contractors involved.

    DJ Moreau | April 2022

  • 4.Hi DJ - good question! Here's a response from the author of this blog, CUB Economist Sudeshna Pal:

    "Utility cost-benefit analysis traditionally does not include external costs and benefits, such as impacts on local employment. However TerraPower, the company building the Natrium plant, has projected an employment of 2000 workers during peak construction phase and around 200 workers on a day-to-day basis for operations and maintenance (Source: https://oilcity.news/general/breaking-news/2021/11/16/terrapower-selects-kemmerer-as-preferred-site-for-new-natrium-nuclear-reactor-in-wyoming/).

    Amelia Lamb | April 2022

  • 5.A quick response to #2 message from CUB Executive Director Bob Jenks:

    Dear Bob,

    First - congratulations on this important win before the PUC. Oregon ratepayers should not be speculating in first of a kind nuclear power projects.

    It is especially galling that this is the pet project of one of the world's richest men, who could easily afford to pay for every dime needed to cover the construction costs of this experimental reactor, but instead seeks major commitments from US taxpayers and Pacific Power ratepayers to do it. Any money wasted on this effort is an opportunity cost lost in money that could be spent on existing carbon-free technologies available now at much lower cost.

    Second - As you know, Ballot Measure #7 in 1980 also restricted investor-owned utilities from recouping costs from nuclear power plants until there is a federally licensed high-level radioactive waste repository built and licensed to operate. There is no such facility under construction or on the horizon. Your submission to the PUC in this case on December 3, 2021 indicated this was an unresolved issue:

    Page 6 "4. Financing/Cost Share Risk – Nuclear projects require a considerable amount of capital investment, and reliable and sufficient funding is crucial towards completion of the projects. The initial costs of the Natrium project are estimated to be around $4 billion.(10) The plant is being partly financed by the Department of Energy’s Advanced Reactor Demonstration Program and the rest is financed privately. In the absence of any other information, CUB assumes that PacifiCorp and its customers would be responsible for the rest of the cost, which means PacifiCorp customers are looking at a starting cost of at least $2 billion(11) (if not more due to potential cost overruns) and an exposure to multiple risks including those discussed above. In discovery, CUB requested the financing structure of the plant from the Company. The Company’s response to CUB DR 1 shows [Begin Confidential] [roughly 3 lines blacked out - presumably for "proprietary reasons" and most likely is linked to footnote #12 - my editorial note - CJ] [End Confidential] and would like additional information on how the Company proposes to finance this project. It is also unknown what share of these costs would fall on Oregon customers under the prevailing multi-state allocation methodology. However, currently, as this resource is projected to come online as Oregon is phasing out of coal, Oregon’s resource needs will be greater than other states. This

    (10)https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/bill-gates-4-bln-high-tech-nuclear-reactor-set-wyoming-coal-site-2021-
    11-17/.
    (11) Id. 12 LC 77 CUB DR 1 Attach A Confidential, CUB Opening Comments Appendix B.
    (12) LC 77 CUB DR 1 Attach A Confidential, CUB Opening Comments Appendix B.

    Page | 7
    project could be used to fill Oregon’s energy needs which means the cost of this project could largely be assigned to Oregon. Depending on whether the resource is brought on to serve a system-wide need or an Oregon-specific need, Oregon customers may be exposed to a greater level of cost and risk than other PacifiCorp states. CUB also points out that there is at present no federally licensed long-term waste facility
    for highly radioactive wastes from the Natrium plant. If the project is completed and PacifiCorp requests cost recovery, it will be the first time a utility would have sought recovery since the codification of ORS 469.595 and ORS 469.599. ORS 469.599 provides, in part:

    The Public Utility Commission shall not authorize the issuance of stocks, bonds or other evidences of indebtedness to finance any nuclear-fueled thermal power plant . . . until the Energy Facility Siting Council has made the finding required under ORS 469.595 [that there is an adequate repository for the disposal of high-level radioactive waste before issuing a site certificate].

    While I am not an attorney, there appears to be uncertainty regarding the legal framework for cost recovery in Oregon that should be explored. Further, it remains unclear how PacifiCorp
    is modeling the long-term costs of storing nuclear waste from the project. These issues should be vetted in this proceeding."

    I am grateful that you included reference to this law in your statement to the PUC. It was our intention as framers of Ballot Measure #7 to prevent private utilities from building nuclear power plants in other states and then bill Oregon ratepayers for their costs until the requirements for an operation federal repository for high-level nuclear waste from those plants had been established.

    Here's wishing you the best in this and all your further endeavors.

    Sincerely,
    Chuck

    Charles Johnson | June 2022

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